NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS UNM
Points 74.9 82.6
Total Points   157.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 25.9
Points From Free Throws 10.3 16.8
Shooting MCNS UNM
Field Goals Made 28.3 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 60.2
Field Goal % 47.3% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 10.3 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 23.3
Free Throw % 72.9% 72.1%
Ball Control MCNS UNM
Rebounds 33.5 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 11.6
Turnovers 15.4 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.2
Steals 5.8 8.9
Fouls 17.7 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: McNeese St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS UNM
Total Possessions 74.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 74.9
% of Possessions with MCNS UNM
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 26.9%
Player Fouled 17.0% 23.7%
Turnover 20.6% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS UNM
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 32.8%