NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS SFA
Points 75.4 65.1
Total Points   140.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 26.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 22.3
Points From Free Throws 19.7 16.8
Shooting MCNS SFA
Field Goals Made 24.1 20.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 49.0
Field Goal % 47.2% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 13.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 26.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 42.4% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 19.7 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 28.6 23.9
Free Throw % 69.1% 70.3%
Ball Control MCNS SFA
Rebounds 31.5 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 10.9
Turnovers 12.1 17.3
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.5
Steals 9.4 5.6
Fouls 19.7 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: McNeese St

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS SFA
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 64.7
% of Possessions with MCNS SFA
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 31.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 26.9%
Player Fouled 27.5% 27.7%
Turnover 17.0% 24.3%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 13.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS SFA
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 33.5%