NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS RICH
Points 66.9 69.4
Total Points   136.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 29.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 27.9
Points From Free Throws 12.8 11.9
Shooting MCNS RICH
Field Goals Made 23.5 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 51.9
Field Goal % 40.7% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 26.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.5% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 12.8 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 16.6
Free Throw % 69.1% 71.6%
Ball Control MCNS RICH
Rebounds 35.5 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 5.2
Turnovers 8.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.7
Steals 6.3 4.2
Fouls 15.8 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS RICH
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 61.7
% of Possessions with MCNS RICH
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 36.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 33.8%
Player Fouled 20.1% 23.4%
Turnover 12.7% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS RICH
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 17.0%