NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDAK COLO
Points 69.3 95.4
Total Points   164.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 55.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 24.5
Points From Free Throws 10.7 15.8
Shooting SDAK COLO
Field Goals Made 25.8 35.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 61.9
Field Goal % 43.6% 57.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 27.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 43.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 63.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 43.7%
Free Throws Made 10.7 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 20.8
Free Throw % 76.4% 76.0%
Ball Control SDAK COLO
Rebounds 25.9 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 19.3 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 9.9
Turnovers 11.2 7.3
Blocked Shots 1.3 2.8
Steals 3.2 6.5
Fouls 15.7 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: South Dakota

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDAK COLO
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 74.9
% of Possessions with SDAK COLO
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 52.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 22.6%
Player Fouled 17.4% 21.8%
Turnover 15.5% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 4.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDAK COLO
Shot Blocked 4.6% 2.2%
Offensive Rebound 18.7% 33.9%