NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDAK NEB
Points 69.3 92.9
Total Points   162.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 43.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 34.0
Points From Free Throws 11.0 15.2
Shooting SDAK NEB
Field Goals Made 24.6 33.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 64.0
Field Goal % 40.5% 51.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 61.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 11.0 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 20.0
Free Throw % 76.4% 76.0%
Ball Control SDAK NEB
Rebounds 32.6 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.9
Turnovers 12.1 6.4
Blocked Shots 1.3 3.0
Steals 2.8 6.5
Fouls 14.4 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: South Dakota

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDAK NEB
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 76.3
% of Possessions with SDAK NEB
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 34.4%
Player Fouled 17.3% 19.8%
Turnover 16.5% 8.8%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 3.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDAK NEB
Shot Blocked 4.7% 2.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 29.3%