NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDAK AFA
Points 71.6 80.7
Total Points   152.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 32.5
Points From Free Throws 14.8 10.5
Shooting SDAK AFA
Field Goals Made 24.6 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 58.5
Field Goal % 47.4% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 31.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 60.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 41.8% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 14.8 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 15.3
Free Throw % 76.4% 68.7%
Ball Control SDAK AFA
Rebounds 31.4 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 21.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 8.1
Turnovers 11.9 7.4
Blocked Shots 1.2 4.4
Steals 2.8 6.8
Fouls 14.3 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Air Force

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDAK AFA
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 63.3 68.0
% of Possessions with SDAK AFA
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 36.2%
Player Fouled 22.6% 21.3%
Turnover 17.6% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 4.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDAK AFA
Shot Blocked 7.6% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 25.5%