NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDAK SDST
Points 73.0 85.6
Total Points   158.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 43.5
Points From 3-Pointers 30.0 29.7
Points From Free Throws 10.8 12.4
Shooting SDAK SDST
Field Goals Made 26.1 31.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 61.7
Field Goal % 44.7% 51.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 10.8 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 17.0
Free Throw % 76.4% 73.3%
Ball Control SDAK SDST
Rebounds 32.1 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 7.9
Turnovers 11.6 7.0
Blocked Shots 1.3 3.2
Steals 3.3 6.0
Fouls 15.1 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: South Dakota

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDAK SDST
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 72.1
% of Possessions with SDAK SDST
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 31.6%
Player Fouled 17.7% 21.2%
Turnover 16.2% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDAK SDST
Shot Blocked 5.1% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 24.2%