NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDAK FAMU
Points 79.7 73.9
Total Points   153.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 45.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 18.4
Points From Free Throws 15.8 9.6
Shooting SDAK FAMU
Field Goals Made 27.5 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 65.4
Field Goal % 48.0% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 23.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 47.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 15.8 9.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 14.1
Free Throw % 76.4% 68.1%
Ball Control SDAK FAMU
Rebounds 37.3 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 10.1
Turnovers 11.4 8.6
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.0
Steals 3.4 5.9
Fouls 12.4 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Florida A&M

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDAK FAMU
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 74.4
% of Possessions with SDAK FAMU
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 56.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 21.4%
Player Fouled 22.0% 17.0%
Turnover 15.7% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDAK FAMU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 25.9%