NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HARV COR
Points 70.4 79.1
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 31.5
Points From Free Throws 15.4 11.6
Shooting HARV COR
Field Goals Made 23.7 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 62.4
Field Goal % 42.5% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 30.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 15.4 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 15.6
Free Throw % 69.8% 74.2%
Ball Control HARV COR
Rebounds 35.6 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.3
Turnovers 12.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.4
Steals 6.1 7.7
Fouls 13.0 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Cornell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HARV COR
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 71.9
% of Possessions with HARV COR
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 37.0%
Player Fouled 23.0% 18.1%
Turnover 17.1% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HARV COR
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 28.8%