NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALA TAM
Points 90.7 83.2
Total Points   173.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 40.9 20.5
Points From Free Throws 16.3 22.3
Shooting ALA TAM
Field Goals Made 30.4 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 67.5
Field Goal % 48.5% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 26.2 43.0
2 Point Shooting % 64.1% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.6 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 36.5 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 27.9%
Free Throws Made 16.3 22.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 31.3
Free Throw % 76.4% 71.3%
Ball Control ALA TAM
Rebounds 38.3 41.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 17.7
Turnovers 10.5 7.2
Blocked Shots 5.5 3.8
Steals 3.9 6.9
Fouls 18.5 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALA TAM
Total Possessions 75.3
Effective Scoring Chances 75.6 85.8
% of Possessions with ALA TAM
2 Point Attempt 29.9% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 41.7% 25.7%
Player Fouled 23.1% 24.6%
Turnover 14.0% 9.6%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALA TAM
Shot Blocked 5.8% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 39.3%