NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALA URI
Points 99.5 74.6
Total Points   174.2
Points From 2-Pointers 43.9 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.2 18.6
Points From Free Throws 17.5 18.3
Shooting ALA URI
Field Goals Made 34.7 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 66.0 58.1
Field Goal % 52.5% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.9 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 64.8% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 32.2 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 17.5 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 27.7
Free Throw % 76.4% 66.1%
Ball Control ALA URI
Rebounds 40.5 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 22.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 9.7
Turnovers 7.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 7.0 2.7
Steals 6.7 4.5
Fouls 18.3 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALA URI
Total Possessions 75.4
Effective Scoring Chances 80.0 73.7
% of Possessions with ALA URI
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 36.2% 22.6%
Player Fouled 23.4% 24.3%
Turnover 10.4% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALA URI
Shot Blocked 4.8% 10.7%
Offensive Rebound 36.2% 25.7%