NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VALP BRAD
Points 60.2 77.9
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 27.9 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 25.5
Points From Free Throws 10.8 11.4
Shooting VALP BRAD
Field Goals Made 21.1 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 57.4
Field Goal % 36.1% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 38.2% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 39.4%
Free Throws Made 10.8 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 15.3
Free Throw % 70.2% 74.3%
Ball Control VALP BRAD
Rebounds 31.2 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 9.5
Turnovers 10.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.1
Steals 5.6 6.4
Fouls 13.1 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VALP BRAD
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 67.4
% of Possessions with VALP BRAD
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 27.3%
Player Fouled 18.8% 19.0%
Turnover 15.4% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken VALP BRAD
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 30.9%