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Valparaiso at Drake
Wed Feb 19, 2020
8:00pm ET
Des Moines, IA
Valparaiso at Drake: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Drake by 4, Total Points: 141.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VALP | adv | DRKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-13-0 | 18-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 15-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-10-0 | 9-6-0 | |
| Away | 12-3-0 | 9-10-0 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Christian | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | IUPUI | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Illinois | +29.5 | L by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | W Illinois | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Southern | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drake | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Belmont | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | VA Tech | +21.5 | L by 21 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago St | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Elon | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Bradley | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | IL-Chicago | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | S Illinois | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois St | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Evansville | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | S Illinois | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Drake | +19.5 | L by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Indiana St | +20.5 | L by 40 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Missouri St | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Murray St | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | N Iowa | +16.0 | L by 14 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Illinois St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Belmont | +14.0 | L by 25 | -11.0 |
Drake Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Home | Lipscomb | -15.5 | W by 15 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Southwest Minnesota St. | -- | W by 20 | -- |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Oakland | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Ste F Austin | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Akron | -1.5 | W by 20 | +18.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | TX Southern | -15.5 | W by 6 | -9.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 17 | +9.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Saint Louis | -15.5 | W by 6 | -9.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Nevada | +4.5 | W by 19 | +23.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Grambling St | -23.5 | W by 12 | -11.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -18.0 | W by 37 | +19.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | UAB | -5.5 | L by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Illinois St | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Belmont | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Indiana St | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | S Illinois | -2.0 | W by 18 | +16.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Illinois St | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Evansville | -17.5 | W by 49 | +31.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Missouri St | -7.0 | L by 3 | -10.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Iowa | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Valparaiso | -19.5 | W by 11 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Indiana St | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | S Illinois | -10.0 | W by 4 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Bradley | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Evansville | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Murray St | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Belmont | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | N Iowa | -2.0 | L by 14 | -16.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | IL-Chicago | -8.5 | W by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Bradley | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Evansville | -14.0 | W by 21 | +7.0 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Bradley | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Indiana St | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wash State | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| DRKE -4.0 | Open | -3.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3118 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Drake won the game 2005 times (64.3%).
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 1113 times (35.7%).
- The team like Drake did better against the spread, going 1553-1485-80 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4794 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Drake did better against the spread, going 2368-2329-97 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.5 |
| Open | -4.0 | -3.5 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/19 07:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/19 07:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/19 07:26 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/19 06:47 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 06:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/19 05:53 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 05:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/19 04:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 04:14 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 03:03 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 01:42 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 12:52 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 12:35 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 12:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/19 11:37 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 02/19 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/19 07:42 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 02/18 09:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/18 07:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/18 07:19 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 06:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/18 06:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
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