NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HC LAS
Points 65.6 78.8
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 31.6
Points From Free Throws 10.0 11.3
Shooting HC LAS
Field Goals Made 24.4 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 60.8
Field Goal % 42.4% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 42.8%
Free Throws Made 10.0 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 15.7
Free Throw % 66.3% 71.6%
Ball Control HC LAS
Rebounds 34.2 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 8.2
Turnovers 8.6 5.9
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.2
Steals 2.8 5.5
Fouls 13.6 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: La Salle

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HC LAS
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 69.8
% of Possessions with HC LAS
2 Point Attempt 52.1% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 32.0%
Player Fouled 18.5% 20.2%
Turnover 12.8% 8.7%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 4.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken HC LAS
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 23.7%