NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HC CAN
Points 65.6 73.9
Total Points   139.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 27.0
Points From Free Throws 8.8 9.4
Shooting HC CAN
Field Goals Made 25.1 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 61.2
Field Goal % 44.1% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 8.8 9.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 15.8
Free Throw % 66.3% 59.8%
Ball Control HC CAN
Rebounds 32.2 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 11.5
Turnovers 9.2 7.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.5
Steals 3.4 5.1
Fouls 12.7 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HC CAN
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 71.0
% of Possessions with HC CAN
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 29.6%
Player Fouled 18.7% 19.0%
Turnover 13.7% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken HC CAN
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 31.1%