NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ISU TTU
Points 73.9 67.2
Total Points   141.1
Points From 2-Pointers 41.6 27.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 25.7
Points From Free Throws 12.1 14.5
Shooting ISU TTU
Field Goals Made 27.5 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 52.5
Field Goal % 46.3% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 13.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 26.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 12.1 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 18.5
Free Throw % 70.8% 78.5%
Ball Control ISU TTU
Rebounds 33.8 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 9.7
Turnovers 8.8 13.4
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.3
Steals 7.7 5.1
Fouls 14.7 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ISU TTU
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 64.3
% of Possessions with ISU TTU
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 33.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 33.2%
Player Fouled 20.7% 21.6%
Turnover 13.0% 19.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ISU TTU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.0% 30.0%