NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MVSU MOSU
Points 51.6 80.8
Total Points   132.4
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 14.0 22.8
Points From Free Throws 9.0 17.0
Shooting MVSU MOSU
Field Goals Made 19.0 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 55.2
Field Goal % 32.2% 51.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 41.7 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 34.2% 60.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 27.4% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 9.0 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 24.1
Free Throw % 66.0% 70.3%
Ball Control MVSU MOSU
Rebounds 28.2 44.8
Rebounds - Defensive 19.5 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.8
Turnovers 10.8 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.6
Steals 6.1 5.2
Fouls 15.3 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Miss Val St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MVSU MOSU
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 70.4
% of Possessions with MVSU MOSU
2 Point Attempt 52.5% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 25.7%
Player Fouled 18.7% 22.3%
Turnover 15.8% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MVSU MOSU
Shot Blocked 8.5% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 37.6%