NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MVSU CSU
Points 46.8 82.4
Total Points   129.2
Points From 2-Pointers 26.0 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 10.8 23.4
Points From Free Throws 10.0 17.6
Shooting MVSU CSU
Field Goals Made 16.6 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 51.4 50.6
Field Goal % 32.3% 56.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.0 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 34.1% 68.2%
3 Pointers Made 3.6 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 13.4 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 26.9% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 10.0 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 23.5
Free Throw % 66.0% 74.7%
Ball Control MVSU CSU
Rebounds 25.9 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 17.8 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 7.8
Turnovers 13.4 9.2
Blocked Shots 1.6 3.2
Steals 5.1 7.1
Fouls 16.8 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Miss Val St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MVSU CSU
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 61.1 65.1
% of Possessions with MVSU CSU
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 17.7% 27.0%
Player Fouled 21.1% 25.3%
Turnover 20.2% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MVSU CSU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 30.5%