NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MVSU M-OH
Points 51.6 74.8
Total Points   126.4
Points From 2-Pointers 28.8 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 12.4 27.4
Points From Free Throws 10.4 15.3
Shooting MVSU M-OH
Field Goals Made 18.5 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 51.6
Field Goal % 35.4% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 38.9% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 26.8% 41.9%
Free Throws Made 10.4 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 21.4
Free Throw % 66.0% 71.5%
Ball Control MVSU M-OH
Rebounds 31.4 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 7.5
Turnovers 14.2 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.0
Steals 6.7 7.3
Fouls 16.5 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Miami (OH)

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MVSU M-OH
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 62.6 64.8
% of Possessions with MVSU M-OH
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 28.6%
Player Fouled 20.9% 24.3%
Turnover 20.9% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MVSU M-OH
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 25.1%