NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MVSU GRAM
Points 53.2 71.1
Total Points   124.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.0 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 13.1 16.8
Points From Free Throws 11.1 16.9
Shooting MVSU GRAM
Field Goals Made 18.9 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 50.8
Field Goal % 36.5% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 39.8% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 15.3 13.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 41.0%
Free Throws Made 11.1 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 23.9
Free Throw % 66.0% 70.7%
Ball Control MVSU GRAM
Rebounds 30.5 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 9.9
Turnovers 14.0 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.2
Steals 6.2 8.1
Fouls 14.3 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Grambling St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MVSU GRAM
Total Possessions 67.1
Effective Scoring Chances 62.8 65.9
% of Possessions with MVSU GRAM
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 19.6% 17.5%
Player Fouled 20.6% 21.4%
Turnover 20.8% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 12.0% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MVSU GRAM
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 32.2%