NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAKE CHAR
Points 74.1 64.5
Total Points   138.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 17.3
Points From Free Throws 14.8 14.2
Shooting WAKE CHAR
Field Goals Made 26.3 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 52.2
Field Goal % 47.8% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 14.8 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 18.8
Free Throw % 79.2% 75.2%
Ball Control WAKE CHAR
Rebounds 33.9 29.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 6.4
Turnovers 8.3 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.8
Steals 5.4 4.4
Fouls 14.6 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAKE CHAR
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 63.2
% of Possessions with WAKE CHAR
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 26.2%
Player Fouled 23.5% 21.9%
Turnover 12.4% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAKE CHAR
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 19.9%