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NW State at Baylor
Sat Dec 2, 2023
6:00pm ET
Waco, TX
NW State at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 34, Total Points: 159.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NWST | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-15-0 | 20-12-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-6-0 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 10-9-0 | 10-7-1 |
NW State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dallas Christian | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Tulane | +18.5 | L by 17 | +1.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Ste F Austin | +13.0 | L by 26 | -13.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Maine | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | N Florida | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Presbyterian | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | UL Monroe | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Baylor | +34.0 | L by 51 | -17.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | S Mississippi | +15.0 | L by 9 | +6.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Boise St | +23.5 | L by 41 | -17.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Rice | +11.0 | L by 25 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Southern-New Orleans | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/29 | Away | LSU | +25.0 | L by 41 | -16.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Lamar | +10.5 | L by 20 | -9.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | McNeese St | +19.0 | L by 9 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Incar Word | +2.5 | W by 26 | +28.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Hsn Christian | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | New Orleans | +7.0 | W by 25 | +32.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | SE Louisiana | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX A&M-CC | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | McNeese St | +19.5 | L by 24 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -1.5 | W by 13 | +11.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Nicholls | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | SE Louisiana | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | New Orleans | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Incar Word | +3.5 | W by 20 | +23.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | TX A&M-CC | +12.5 | L by 11 | +1.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Hsn Christian | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Lamar | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Nicholls | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | TX A&M-Com | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | TX A&M-Com | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| BAY -34.0 | Open | -34.5 | High | -35.5 |
| Last | -34.5 | Low | -33.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 68 games where the closing line favored the home team by 33 to 35 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 68 times (100.0%).
- The team like Northwestern St. won the game 0 times (0.0%).
- The team like Northwestern St. did better against the spread, going 35-31-2 (53.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4561 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 2234-2232-95 (50.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -- | -34.5 | -- |
| Open | -- | -35.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/02 05:57 PM | -- | -34.5 | -- |
| 12/02 11:35 AM | -- | -35.5 | -- |
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