NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NWST TTU
Points 62.4 86.7
Total Points   149.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 25.4
Points From Free Throws 11.0 20.8
Shooting NWST TTU
Field Goals Made 23.0 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 55.9
Field Goal % 39.3% 51.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 62.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.3% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 11.0 20.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 26.5
Free Throw % 64.9% 78.5%
Ball Control NWST TTU
Rebounds 29.4 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 18.8 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.7
Turnovers 11.9 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.5
Steals 4.9 6.1
Fouls 17.3 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: NW State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NWST TTU
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 72.5
% of Possessions with NWST TTU
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 28.6%
Player Fouled 19.0% 24.5%
Turnover 16.9% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NWST TTU
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 38.4%