NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JAC LIP
Points 73.9 80.4
Total Points   154.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.2 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 27.1
Points From Free Throws 11.0 13.9
Shooting JAC LIP
Field Goals Made 27.8 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 55.8
Field Goal % 45.0% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 39.8%
Free Throws Made 11.0 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 17.9
Free Throw % 69.8% 77.5%
Ball Control JAC LIP
Rebounds 36.1 29.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 6.2
Turnovers 11.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.0
Steals 5.6 6.0
Fouls 15.9 11.7

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JAC LIP
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 66.3
% of Possessions with JAC LIP
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 29.2%
Player Fouled 16.7% 22.7%
Turnover 15.7% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken JAC LIP
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 36.1% 21.2%