NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JAC CHSO
Points 68.9 64.7
Total Points   133.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 14.9 20.1
Points From Free Throws 14.2 13.9
Shooting JAC CHSO
Field Goals Made 24.9 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 53.6
Field Goal % 41.9% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 45.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 14.2 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 20.0
Free Throw % 69.8% 69.7%
Ball Control JAC CHSO
Rebounds 38.6 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 9.1
Turnovers 8.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.6
Steals 6.4 3.7
Fouls 15.9 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JAC CHSO
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 66.2
% of Possessions with JAC CHSO
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 25.7%
Player Fouled 21.3% 23.3%
Turnover 12.8% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken JAC CHSO
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 33.5% 26.0%