NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JAC BELL
Points 72.9 68.6
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 22.4
Points From Free Throws 14.9 11.4
Shooting JAC BELL
Field Goals Made 25.3 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 55.5
Field Goal % 44.7% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 14.9 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 15.1
Free Throw % 69.8% 75.6%
Ball Control JAC BELL
Rebounds 38.6 29.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 6.2
Turnovers 9.8 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 1.7
Steals 5.2 4.9
Fouls 14.7 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JAC BELL
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 64.6
% of Possessions with JAC BELL
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 29.0%
Player Fouled 21.8% 21.6%
Turnover 14.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken JAC BELL
Shot Blocked 3.1% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 34.5% 18.9%