NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JAC VCU
Points 58.2 74.6
Total Points   132.8
Points From 2-Pointers 27.7 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 25.6
Points From Free Throws 14.0 18.3
Shooting JAC VCU
Field Goals Made 19.4 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 49.9
Field Goal % 35.3% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 27.6
2 Point Shooting % 38.7% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 14.0 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 23.7
Free Throw % 69.8% 77.2%
Ball Control JAC VCU
Rebounds 32.8 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.3
Turnovers 11.6 10.8
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.1
Steals 6.7 6.9
Fouls 17.8 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JAC VCU
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 64.8
% of Possessions with JAC VCU
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 36.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 29.3%
Player Fouled 21.3% 26.5%
Turnover 17.3% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken JAC VCU
Shot Blocked 8.2% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 28.3%