NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF SCU
Points 72.6 68.4
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 21.6
Points From Free Throws 12.5 14.9
Shooting SF SCU
Field Goals Made 26.4 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 53.2
Field Goal % 44.1% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 12.5 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 21.5
Free Throw % 74.2% 69.6%
Ball Control SF SCU
Rebounds 33.5 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.1
Turnovers 9.2 13.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 1.7
Steals 7.7 3.9
Fouls 17.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF SCU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 66.7
% of Possessions with SF SCU
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 25.7%
Player Fouled 21.2% 25.0%
Turnover 13.0% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF SCU
Shot Blocked 3.2% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 26.8%