NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF SMC
Points 61.9 67.9
Total Points   129.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 21.4
Points From Free Throws 10.4 13.4
Shooting SF SMC
Field Goals Made 23.0 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 53.1
Field Goal % 42.6% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 10.4 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 20.0
Free Throw % 74.2% 67.1%
Ball Control SF SMC
Rebounds 29.3 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 9.7
Turnovers 10.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.4
Steals 6.2 5.6
Fouls 15.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF SMC
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 62.3 65.6
% of Possessions with SF SMC
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 25.4%
Player Fouled 21.0% 23.9%
Turnover 15.4% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF SMC
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.0% 29.4%