NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF LMU
Points 69.5 68.0
Total Points   137.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 13.7
Points From Free Throws 9.8 18.2
Shooting SF LMU
Field Goals Made 25.0 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 45.9
Field Goal % 44.7% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 4.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.7 12.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 9.8 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 24.8
Free Throw % 69.5% 73.4%
Ball Control SF LMU
Rebounds 25.4 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 19.6 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 7.4
Turnovers 10.1 15.0
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.1
Steals 7.0 4.2
Fouls 19.3 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: San Fransco

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF LMU
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 61.2
% of Possessions with SF LMU
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 36.7% 16.5%
Player Fouled 21.9% 28.0%
Turnover 14.7% 21.9%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF LMU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 17.6% 27.5%