NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF TOWS
Points 68.0 59.0
Total Points   127.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 26.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 17.3
Points From Free Throws 10.5 15.0
Shooting SF TOWS
Field Goals Made 25.0 19.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 50.4
Field Goal % 45.1% 37.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 13.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 40.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 10.5 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 22.7
Free Throw % 74.2% 66.3%
Ball Control SF TOWS
Rebounds 33.2 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 10.6
Turnovers 10.4 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.4
Steals 7.1 5.0
Fouls 15.5 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF TOWS
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 64.6
% of Possessions with SF TOWS
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 22.5%
Player Fouled 21.2% 23.3%
Turnover 15.6% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF TOWS
Shot Blocked 5.0% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 29.9%