NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF CSF
Points 72.8 60.1
Total Points   132.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 26.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 17.6
Points From Free Throws 11.7 16.1
Shooting SF CSF
Field Goals Made 26.5 19.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 48.3
Field Goal % 46.5% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 13.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.3% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 11.7 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 22.7
Free Throw % 74.2% 71.1%
Ball Control SF CSF
Rebounds 36.2 29.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 6.0
Turnovers 10.7 12.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 1.7
Steals 7.1 5.2
Fouls 17.8 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: CS Fullerton

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF CSF
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 61.8
% of Possessions with SF CSF
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 23.7%
Player Fouled 21.2% 26.0%
Turnover 15.6% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF CSF
Shot Blocked 3.6% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 18.2%