NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF PEPP
Points 76.5 64.3
Total Points   140.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.6 30.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 18.6
Points From Free Throws 11.3 15.0
Shooting SF PEPP
Field Goals Made 28.8 21.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 51.6
Field Goal % 50.4% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 11.3 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 21.5
Free Throw % 74.2% 69.8%
Ball Control SF PEPP
Rebounds 34.5 29.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 7.3
Turnovers 10.6 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 1.6
Steals 7.0 4.2
Fouls 18.2 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF PEPP
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 64.7
% of Possessions with SF PEPP
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 22.1%
Player Fouled 19.8% 26.1%
Turnover 15.2% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF PEPP
Shot Blocked 3.1% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 21.7%