NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX USF
Points 67.8 71.7
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 22.7
Points From Free Throws 13.3 14.0
Shooting DREX USF
Field Goals Made 24.2 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 57.7
Field Goal % 41.9% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 13.3 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 19.3
Free Throw % 71.0% 72.6%
Ball Control DREX USF
Rebounds 39.0 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 7.9
Turnovers 10.4 7.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.6
Steals 4.0 5.4
Fouls 15.9 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX USF
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 69.0
% of Possessions with DREX USF
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 28.2%
Player Fouled 21.1% 23.2%
Turnover 15.2% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX USF
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 22.2%