NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX MONM
Points 73.1 68.2
Total Points   141.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 18.4
Points From Free Throws 14.3 12.1
Shooting DREX MONM
Field Goals Made 25.6 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 60.7
Field Goal % 44.1% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 45.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 14.3 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 16.9
Free Throw % 71.0% 71.6%
Ball Control DREX MONM
Rebounds 40.6 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 9.9
Turnovers 9.7 7.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.8
Steals 4.0 5.3
Fouls 13.6 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX MONM
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 70.3
% of Possessions with DREX MONM
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 51.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 24.7%
Player Fouled 21.5% 20.0%
Turnover 14.4% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX MONM
Shot Blocked 6.4% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 35.3% 26.1%