NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX TEM
Points 71.7 66.8
Total Points   138.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 20.2
Points From Free Throws 14.2 12.7
Shooting DREX TEM
Field Goals Made 25.6 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 60.1
Field Goal % 45.3% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 14.2 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 18.0
Free Throw % 71.0% 70.1%
Ball Control DREX TEM
Rebounds 40.8 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 30.6 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 8.5
Turnovers 10.0 6.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.1
Steals 3.9 5.8
Fouls 14.1 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX TEM
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 70.3
% of Possessions with DREX TEM
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 28.1%
Player Fouled 21.3% 20.5%
Turnover 14.6% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX TEM
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 21.6%