NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX HOF
Points 66.4 69.8
Total Points   136.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 24.4
Points From Free Throws 11.7 8.9
Shooting DREX HOF
Field Goals Made 23.6 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 57.9
Field Goal % 41.4% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 11.7 8.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 12.2
Free Throw % 71.0% 73.2%
Ball Control DREX HOF
Rebounds 37.7 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 6.0
Turnovers 10.1 7.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.6
Steals 4.2 4.9
Fouls 12.9 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Hofstra

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX HOF
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 64.8
% of Possessions with DREX HOF
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 32.2%
Player Fouled 18.9% 19.3%
Turnover 15.1% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX HOF
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 18.0%