NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX RUTG
Points 63.2 65.1
Total Points   128.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 14.5
Points From Free Throws 12.7 12.6
Shooting DREX RUTG
Field Goals Made 22.1 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 60.6
Field Goal % 38.9% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 42.9
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 27.4%
Free Throws Made 12.7 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 18.6
Free Throw % 71.0% 67.7%
Ball Control DREX RUTG
Rebounds 40.7 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.5
Turnovers 12.6 7.7
Blocked Shots 4.1 6.1
Steals 4.6 6.2
Fouls 14.5 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX RUTG
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 71.4
% of Possessions with DREX RUTG
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 53.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 21.9%
Player Fouled 19.5% 21.1%
Turnover 18.4% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX RUTG
Shot Blocked 10.2% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 26.5%