NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX PRIN
Points 70.1 72.5
Total Points   142.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.2 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 25.5
Points From Free Throws 10.5 12.2
Shooting DREX PRIN
Field Goals Made 26.7 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 57.3
Field Goal % 47.7% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 10.5 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 15.6
Free Throw % 71.0% 78.3%
Ball Control DREX PRIN
Rebounds 35.9 29.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 5.9
Turnovers 9.1 5.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 1.3
Steals 3.2 4.5
Fouls 14.9 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX PRIN
Total Possessions 66.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 66.1
% of Possessions with DREX PRIN
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 35.4%
Player Fouled 19.0% 22.6%
Turnover 13.8% 8.8%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX PRIN
Shot Blocked 2.2% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 17.8%