NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX TOWS
Points 64.1 64.2
Total Points   128.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 16.4
Points From Free Throws 12.8 12.0
Shooting DREX TOWS
Field Goals Made 22.7 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 58.2
Field Goal % 41.4% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 12.8 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 18.1
Free Throw % 71.0% 66.3%
Ball Control DREX TOWS
Rebounds 35.0 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 12.6
Turnovers 9.3 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.7
Steals 4.3 4.8
Fouls 13.1 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX TOWS
Total Possessions 65.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 69.3
% of Possessions with DREX TOWS
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 22.7%
Player Fouled 23.1% 20.2%
Turnover 14.4% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX TOWS
Shot Blocked 8.3% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 33.1%