NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORE STAN
Points 79.0 73.9
Total Points   152.9
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 25.7
Points From Free Throws 11.8 12.2
Shooting ORE STAN
Field Goals Made 29.4 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.9 56.7
Field Goal % 46.7% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 11.8 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 16.6
Free Throw % 72.9% 73.9%
Ball Control ORE STAN
Rebounds 34.9 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 6.6
Turnovers 9.0 12.5
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.9
Steals 7.3 4.4
Fouls 14.4 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORE STAN
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 66.7
% of Possessions with ORE STAN
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 29.3%
Player Fouled 19.0% 19.8%
Turnover 12.4% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORE STAN
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 20.4%