NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORE WASH
Points 79.9 77.7
Total Points   157.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 24.0
Points From Free Throws 15.5 14.1
Shooting ORE WASH
Field Goals Made 28.5 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 59.1
Field Goal % 45.6% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 15.5 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 19.7
Free Throw % 72.9% 71.5%
Ball Control ORE WASH
Rebounds 36.8 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 7.8
Turnovers 9.0 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.5
Steals 6.5 4.6
Fouls 16.0 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORE WASH
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 75.2 70.7
% of Possessions with ORE WASH
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 26.6%
Player Fouled 22.1% 21.6%
Turnover 12.2% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORE WASH
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 22.7%