NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORE HALL
Points 72.7 73.1
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 20.1
Points From Free Throws 11.4 15.3
Shooting ORE HALL
Field Goals Made 26.8 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 57.7
Field Goal % 43.8% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 11.4 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 18.9
Free Throw % 72.9% 80.8%
Ball Control ORE HALL
Rebounds 33.2 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.1
Turnovers 9.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.6
Steals 7.4 5.7
Fouls 14.0 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Oregon

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORE HALL
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 68.9
% of Possessions with ORE HALL
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 23.9%
Player Fouled 20.2% 19.9%
Turnover 14.0% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORE HALL
Shot Blocked 8.2% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 30.1%