NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUQ GW
Points 75.3 67.6
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 30.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 21.9
Points From Free Throws 11.4 14.9
Shooting DUQ GW
Field Goals Made 27.6 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 63.4 55.0
Field Goal % 43.6% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 11.4 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 19.8
Free Throw % 73.4% 75.4%
Ball Control DUQ GW
Rebounds 37.4 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 7.8
Turnovers 8.7 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.3 3.9
Steals 7.3 5.3
Fouls 14.0 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUQ GW
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 66.3
% of Possessions with DUQ GW
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 28.0%
Player Fouled 18.4% 19.8%
Turnover 12.3% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUQ GW
Shot Blocked 7.4% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 22.7%