NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JMU GASO
Points 84.9 71.0
Total Points   156.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 24.4
Points From Free Throws 21.5 14.1
Shooting JMU GASO
Field Goals Made 27.8 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 57.2
Field Goal % 47.7% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 21.5 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 30.8 19.8
Free Throw % 69.7% 71.5%
Ball Control JMU GASO
Rebounds 39.1 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 9.0
Turnovers 10.0 14.0
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.1
Steals 8.5 5.4
Fouls 15.1 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: James Mad

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JMU GASO
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.8 69.6
% of Possessions with JMU GASO
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 29.0%
Player Fouled 24.8% 20.3%
Turnover 13.4% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken JMU GASO
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 34.2% 25.0%