NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUQ AFA
Points 71.0 59.8
Total Points   130.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 27.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 21.9
Points From Free Throws 15.4 10.6
Shooting DUQ AFA
Field Goals Made 24.2 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 50.6 49.7
Field Goal % 47.8% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 13.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 27.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 15.4 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 15.5
Free Throw % 73.4% 68.7%
Ball Control DUQ AFA
Rebounds 33.1 27.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 20.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 7.3
Turnovers 10.3 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.7
Steals 6.7 6.0
Fouls 14.8 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUQ AFA
Total Possessions 64.3
Effective Scoring Chances 63.3 58.9
% of Possessions with DUQ AFA
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 37.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 30.6%
Player Fouled 24.2% 23.0%
Turnover 16.0% 19.7%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUQ AFA
Shot Blocked 7.7% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 23.5%