NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUQ RAD
Points 73.4 62.2
Total Points   135.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 17.2
Points From Free Throws 12.9 11.3
Shooting DUQ RAD
Field Goals Made 26.2 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 56.1
Field Goal % 45.0% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 12.9 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 15.3
Free Throw % 73.4% 73.7%
Ball Control DUQ RAD
Rebounds 36.7 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.1
Turnovers 8.8 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.3
Steals 5.5 4.6
Fouls 12.8 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUQ RAD
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 65.4
% of Possessions with DUQ RAD
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 23.5%
Player Fouled 21.8% 19.3%
Turnover 13.3% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUQ RAD
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.6% 28.7%