NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JMU ODU
Points 83.3 67.4
Total Points   150.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 29.1 18.7
Points From Free Throws 19.0 12.2
Shooting JMU ODU
Field Goals Made 27.3 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 60.3
Field Goal % 46.2% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 19.0 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 18.6
Free Throw % 69.7% 65.9%
Ball Control JMU ODU
Rebounds 42.3 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 30.8 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 8.5
Turnovers 10.8 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.1
Steals 7.1 6.3
Fouls 14.4 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JMU ODU
Total Possessions 74.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.6 71.6
% of Possessions with JMU ODU
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 25.1%
Player Fouled 22.1% 19.2%
Turnover 14.4% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken JMU ODU
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 21.7%