NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUQ RICH
Points 64.1 65.1
Total Points   129.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 18.0
Points From Free Throws 11.1 12.0
Shooting DUQ RICH
Field Goals Made 22.8 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 53.2
Field Goal % 40.3% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 11.1 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 16.7
Free Throw % 73.4% 71.6%
Ball Control DUQ RICH
Rebounds 36.2 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 5.1
Turnovers 10.3 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.9
Steals 5.4 5.8
Fouls 14.5 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUQ RICH
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 62.7
% of Possessions with DUQ RICH
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 24.5%
Player Fouled 18.9% 21.6%
Turnover 15.3% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUQ RICH
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 16.0%