NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUQ INST
Points 70.9 76.1
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 26.3
Points From Free Throws 11.3 16.0
Shooting DUQ INST
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 53.5
Field Goal % 44.8% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 27.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 60.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 11.3 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 19.9
Free Throw % 73.4% 80.7%
Ball Control DUQ INST
Rebounds 30.8 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 6.6
Turnovers 9.9 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.5 1.8
Steals 7.0 5.3
Fouls 15.8 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUQ INST
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 65.0
% of Possessions with DUQ INST
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 35.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 32.7%
Player Fouled 20.7% 22.5%
Turnover 14.0% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUQ INST
Shot Blocked 3.4% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 22.2%